Free Uma Musume Race Calculator – Predict Race Outcomes & Optimal Builds

Configuration
Stats
Speed
600
Stamina
500
Power
550
Guts
480
Intelligence
520
Skill Points
45
Available
Race Prediction
Predicted Finish Position
1st
Win Probability: 85%
Excellent performance! You’re a strong contender for victory.
Speed 85%
Stamina 72%
Power 78%
Guts 65%
Intelligence 80%
Training Recommendations
Focus on Speed training for the next race
Improve Stamina to maintain late speed
Learn “Last Corner Spur” skill for better finishes
Recommended Skills
  • Early Speed 15 SP
  • Late Charge 20 SP
  • Good Break 10 SP
  • Positioning Sense 18 SP
  • Strong Finish 22 SP

Uma Musume Race Calculator � Optimize Your Builds Before You Run

Building the perfect Uma for Championship Meetings or Team Races is half science, half art. Our Uma Musume race calculator helps you estimate expected performance by combining base stats (Speed, Stamina, Power, Guts, Wisdom) with race conditions (distance, track, weather, lane order) and strategy (Nige, Senko, Sashi, Oikomi). Use it to compare builds, test support-card routes, and decide which skills are worth chasing.


How the Estimate Works (Plain-English Overview)

  1. Leg phases: Opening ? Mid ? Last Spurt. Each phase weighs stats and skills differently.
  2. Pace & Positioning: Strategy affects early placement and overtake chances.
  3. Stamina Check: If estimated stamina < requirement, late fade reduces finish time.
  4. Skill Procs: Tempo/accel skills that fit the distance & phase can shift placements.
  5. RNG & Field: Rival stats and field size add variance; the calculator shows likely ranges, not certainties.

What Inputs Matter Most

InputWhy It Matters
Distance (Short/Mile/Mid/Long)Sets stamina requirement and which skills/stat weights scale.
Track Type (Turf/Dirt)Alters suitability and skill usefulness.
Course Layout (turns/straight)Influences acceleration windows and overtake zones.
Weather/Track ConditionSmall but meaningful modifiers to speed/power and proc value.
Strategy (Nige/Senko/Sashi/Oikomi)Controls positioning and conflict with other runners.
Base Stats (Spd/Sta/Pow/Gut/Wis)Core performance; thresholds matter more than raw totals.
Skills (start, mid, spurt, conditionals)Timing + synergy with strategy and distance = big swings.

Quick Stat Priorities by Strategy

StrategyCore PrioritiesNotes
Nige (Front-runner)Speed ? Wisdom ? StaminaEarly lead; suffers if stamina is short or if chased by strong Senko.
Senko (Stalker)Speed ? Power/Wisdom ? StaminaBalanced; benefits from mid-phase tempo skills.
Sashi (Sei/Hold-up)Speed/Power ? Wisdom ? StaminaNeeds lanes to overtake; acceleration skills crucial.
Oikomi (Chaser)Power ? Speed/Wisdom ? StaminaLate burst; risky without reliable spurt/accel skills.

Distance & Stamina Heuristics (Rule-of-Thumb)

These are ballpark targets to pass the stamina check assuming typical field and neutral conditions. Adjust upward for heavy skills load or poor suitability; downward if you stack stamina/relax/recovery skills.

DistanceStamina HeuristicWhat to Watch
Short (?1,200m)Low-moderateSpeed/Power dominate; accel skills win sprints.
Mile (~1,600m)ModerateBalance Speed/Sta; tempo skills matter.
Mid (~2,000m)Moderate-highStamina checks start biting; mid-phase control.
Long (2,400m�3,200m)HighStamina + late accel; Guts can clutch in spurt.

Skills: Timing > Count

  • Opening/Positioning: Helps Nige/Senko secure lanes; reduces traffic for Sashi/Oikomi.
  • Mid-Phase Tempo: Raises pace, preserving position; often the highest average value.
  • Last Spurt Acceleration: Decisive for overtakes�synergize with your strategy.
  • Conditional Skills: Triggered by corner count, slope, or rivals; great when matched to course.

Tip: A few well-timed golds beat a pile of mismatched skills.


How to Estimate Without a Calculator (Manual Method)

  1. Pick distance & course ? check stamina heuristic.
  2. Compare your Sta vs. requirement ? if short, expect a late fade penalty.
  3. Score your stats by weights (e.g., Speed 40%, Stamina 20%, Power 20%, Wisdom 15%, Guts 5% for many mid courses�adjust for strategy).
  4. Add skill EV: + small % for well-timed golds, ? if skills don�t fit timing/course.
  5. Adjust for field: Stronger rivals or crowded strategy (many Nige) reduce your EV.

This won�t be as precise as a simulator, but it�s great for A/B testing builds.


When to Use the Race Calculator

  • Before spending shards/support points to lock a build.
  • To choose between two training routes (e.g., higher Speed vs. more balanced Sta/Power).
  • To check if a skill swap (tempo ? accel) moves your expected placement.
  • For Championship Meeting prep when course details are announced.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Under-stamming long courses and blaming RNG.
  • Stacking many off-timed skills that rarely proc.
  • Ignoring Wisdom for gate/positioning/skill rate.
  • Forcing Oikomi on tight, short tracks with limited overtake windows.

FAQ

Does Guts matter?
Less than Speed/Power/Wisdom most of the time, but it helps in spurt sustain, especially for long races or close finishes.

How big is Wisdom�s impact?
It affects skill activation and race decisions (less weaving, better lines). Many builds undervalue it.

Are gold skills always better?
Usually, but only when timing + course match. A perfectly timed white can outperform a mistimed gold.

Why did my Nige lose a lead?
Stamina checks, late accel from rivals, or crowded front-runner fields can erode your advantage.

Can I copy meta builds?
Use them as a starting point. Always adapt to the specific course and your support inventory.